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Three phases. Each ends in something your team keeps.

Every engagement follows the same three-phase structure. The phases are sequential and each one has a clear deliverable. You know exactly where you are, what comes next, and what you are paying for at every step. We designed it to answer the question most operators face but rarely articulate: how do I make a defensible commercial decision when the stakes are high, the data is messy, and the internal politics are real?

Fixed fee · Principals only · A typical engagement runs 8–12 weeks from kickoff to capability transfer

The three phases

Phase 11–2 weeks
1

Find the question

Most engagements fail because they answer the wrong question. We start by pressure-testing your commercial hypothesis. Not the question your team has been asking in meetings, but the question that actually determines the outcome.

What decision are you trying to make? What evidence gap prevents you from making it with confidence? What would change your mind? What are the second-order consequences of being wrong?

This phase is deliberately short. It is a focused sprint to move from a vague concern to a defensible research question with clear scope. We challenge your assumptions, identify what the existing research already answers, and define precisely what additional analysis your specific situation requires.

You keep · the decision briefA defensible research question with clear scope, defined success criteria, and an analysis plan. You will know exactly what we are going to investigate, why it matters, and how we will measure whether we found the answer.
Phase 23–6 weeks
2

Build the evidence

With the question defined, we go to work on your data. Historical bookings, pricing records, promotional calendars, guest behavior data, loyalty program activity, onboard spending patterns, rebooking rates. We analyze what you have, identify what is missing, and build the analytical foundation for a defensible answer.

We run models, surface patterns, and test alternatives against counterfactual scenarios. What would have happened if you had not run that promotion? What would revenue look like if you priced by attribute rather than by category? How much of your loyalty spend is genuinely incremental?

This is not a black-box exercise. We show our work at every step. You see the data, the assumptions, the methodology, and the sensitivity analysis. If a finding depends on a specific assumption, we tell you. If the data does not support a definitive conclusion, we tell you that too.

You keep · the evidence modelQuantified findings with counterfactual scenarios, sensitivity analysis, and board-ready recommendations. Clear, visual, defensible. Ready for the executive team, the board, or whatever decision-making body needs to act.
Phase 3Handoff
3

Embed the discipline

This is where most consulting engagements end. It is where ours begins to differentiate. We do not hand you a deck and walk away. We transfer the logic so your team can run the next iteration without us.

Your team learns the framework, the assumptions, and the sensitivity points. They understand not just what we found, but why the methodology works, where its limitations are, and how to update the analysis as new data becomes available.

We succeed when you do not need us for the next decision. That is not a slogan. It is a design principle. Every engagement is structured to leave you more capable than when we started.

You keep · the operating toolWorking analytical models, documented methodology, and a training session for your team. Everything you need to own the framework going forward.
Phase 11–2 weeks
Phase 23–6 weeks
Phase 3Handoff
KickoffWeek 2Week 8Week 12+

We do not pad timelines. Phase 1 is intentionally compressed because delay kills momentum. Phase 2 takes as long as the analysis requires, no more. Phase 3 is structured as a handoff, not an open-ended retainer. If your decision timeline is shorter than 8 weeks, we can compress the engagement. If it is longer, we can phase the work to align with your planning cycle. The structure adapts. The rigor does not.

What we need from you

What the analysis actually needs.

We keep our data requirements focused. We do not ask for everything. If you do not have all of these data sets, we can still work with what you have. Part of Phase 1 is assessing what is available, what is usable, and what gaps we need to work around.

Data

  • Historical booking data (12–24 months)
  • Pricing calendars and promotional history
  • Loyalty program membership and activity data
  • Onboard spend by guest segment
  • Rebooking and retention data (if available)

Access

  • Executive sponsor with decision authority
  • 2–3 hours per week of stakeholder time
  • Access to relevant commercial team leads
  • Willingness to pressure-test assumptions

What you get

Not optional extras. Core to the engagement.

Everything we produce belongs to you. There are no licensing restrictions, no ongoing fees, and no dependencies on our proprietary tools. Your team owns the output completely.

01

Quantified findings

Tied to your specific data and commercial context, not generic industry benchmarks.

02

Counterfactual scenarios

What would happen under different assumptions and strategies.

03

Board-ready presentation

Designed for executive decision-makers, with clear recommendations and supporting evidence.

04

Working analytical models

That your team can use, modify, and extend after the engagement ends.

05

Methodology documentation

Explaining every assumption, data source, and analytical step.

06

Training session

For your commercial and analytics teams, covering the framework, its limitations, and how to update the analysis.

Ready to start?

Bring one live commercial decision. We will scope the engagement in a single conversation. No pitch decks. No proposals that take three weeks. Fixed-fee. Principals only.

Book a review · 30 minutes · Both partners

Bring one live decision.

In 30 minutes with both partners, we will stress-test the question and tell you plainly whether deeper work is warranted, including “do not hire us” if that is the right answer.

The leader who owns the decision usually joins: the CEO, CCO, or head of Revenue, Finance or Loyalty. We reply within one business day. What happens next →

Your information is confidential. No mailing list, no drip sequence. If it is not a fit, we will tell you plainly.